by JS O’Brien Conventional wisdom in presidential elections is that they almost always tighten near the end. Today’s Rasmussen Reports tracking poll, which shows Obama’s lead shrinking to +3, 50% to 47%, […]
Dear Joe the Plumber: if you wind up paying more taxes, you're an idiot (update #2)
by JS O’Brien Dear Joe the Plumber, Welcome to your 15 minutes of fame. It’s not everyone who gets his name mentioned 286 times in a presidential debate. If you haven’t already, […]
Obama's and McCain's spending mismatch, tonight's debate, and why the polls may be underestimating Obama's lead
by JS O’Brien The polls and the debate Today’s morning polls are out, including the Gallup daily tracking poll. Overall, it appears that the race may be tightening a bit. As expected, […]
Observations on the presidential race (or what the @#$%$ is McCain doing?)
by JS O’Brien Today’s polls are beginning to show Obama pulling away in what were once toss-up states. SurveyUSA, which fivethirtyeight.com rates as a high-quality poll, puts Obama up five points in […]